Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-09 9.610126 11.256090 13.054997 15.161222 17.553546 20.180129 23.275721
2025-11-16 6.530466 8.675243 11.272890 14.622213 18.794761 23.787947 30.177890
2025-11-23 4.705082 6.936923 9.875586 13.964926 19.434793 26.417224 35.908874
2025-11-30 3.894232 6.253996 9.578242 14.491677 21.435559 30.744915 43.982542
2025-12-07 3.310524 5.737121 9.364642 15.012686 23.375921 35.056445 52.293378
2025-12-14 2.670981 4.992264 8.670486 14.692173 24.012449 37.538070 58.194810
2025-12-21 2.157738 4.339553 7.995093 14.269351 24.388093 39.597207 63.559159
2025-12-28 1.945526 4.158631 8.040703 14.964156 26.503435 44.336609 73.127023
2026-01-04 1.734522 3.936267 7.974606 15.446724 28.295621 48.678576 82.343393
2026-01-11 1.497733 3.616054 7.683028 15.493516 29.350624 51.909957 90.013524
2026-01-18 1.297146 3.328104 7.404370 15.517418 30.344809 55.079542 97.741138
2026-01-25 1.081121 2.960988 6.916207 15.088954 30.492584 56.841292 103.268818
2026-02-01 0.887912 2.615900 6.445933 14.689884 30.751869 58.972313 109.837392
2026-02-08 0.724501 2.304200 5.999481 14.291883 30.997990 61.145773 116.719034
2026-02-15 0.575767 1.987102 5.481422 13.669554 30.741472 62.397790 122.088102
2026-02-22 0.520907 1.911697 5.503403 14.190866 32.760216 67.872448 135.158709
2026-03-01 0.472059 1.840398 5.522112 14.703349 34.799807 73.509850 148.830755
2026-03-08 0.391039 1.645061 5.195741 14.388674 35.100874 75.899622 156.752622
2026-03-15 0.319800 1.456625 4.849015 13.973419 35.137594 77.767552 163.798244
2026-03-22 0.298490 1.435745 4.952388 14.655850 37.602201 84.507925 180.303583
2026-03-29 0.272124 1.387954 4.971545 15.129870 39.642700 90.525241 195.736485
2026-04-05 0.236396 1.291184 4.830154 15.175835 40.720044 94.668566 207.779259
2026-04-12 0.205017 1.200130 4.687948 15.199315 41.742791 98.754323 219.907457